Over the previous 20 years, China’s position within the geopolitical panorama has grown, significantly because of the nation’s rising financial and navy energy. Thus, U.S. leaders now view China as a strategic competitor—one which seeks to upend the publish–World Struggle II liberal worldwide order. One in every of China’s methods in that competitors is to hunt affect in international locations all over the world. On this report, the authors assess China’s potential to make use of numerous mechanisms of affect to form the insurance policies and conduct of 20 international locations, in addition to the teachings that these examples supply for the USA’ strategic competitors with China. With this examine, the authors intention to supply a transferable framework (comprising inputs, intervening elements, and outputs) and different instruments of study that may present dependable technique of assessing bilateral affect relationships in different instances.
Among the many examine’s chief findings is that China’s burgeoning financial energy, above and past every other issues, is the muse for its affect. Moreover, Beijing’s potential to control native political, financial, and social occasions to its profit is a vital think about its affect efforts. If China’s mammoth financial magnet is the gravitational middle of its affect, its potential to succeed in into different international locations and successfully manipulate perceptions and occasions is the predominant device. However, success within the competitors for affect is as a lot about how the USA responds to present challenges as it’s about something China does or doesn’t do.
This analysis was sponsored by the Workplace of the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Protection for Technique and Drive Improvement within the Workplace of the Secretary of Protection. It was performed throughout the Worldwide Safety and Protection Coverage Middle of the RAND Nationwide Safety Analysis Division (NSRD).
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